анализы
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-26469461
отсюда
According to the most recent forecast by the independent Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy last month,
the Russian economy will not grow faster than 2% per year until 2016, even with a best-case scenario of growing quasi-state investment, an improving investment climate and small business growth.
Российская экономика будет расти не более чем 2% в год до 2016.
However,
if more serious European sanctions were to be imposed such as an embargo on Russia's gas supply, by replacing it as some experts suggest with Norwegian gas and liquefied natural gas, then
Russia would stand to lose some $100bn a year and face economic collapse. Если Европа предпримет серьезые меры с имбарго на российский газ, то россия потеряет 100миллиардов\год и коллапсд экономику.